The New Orleans Saints had been a 5.5 level favourite on the highway in opposition to the Atlanta Falcons to open the NFL season. It turned obvious quickly sufficient that they weren’t going to cowl the unfold. The Falcons entered halftime with a 16-7 lead. Not solely did the Falcons look good to the bettors who had them cowl 5.5 factors as an underdog, however they regarded like an actual menace to win the sport.
Fortunate for a BetMGM punter, this in the end didn’t occur. A bettor risked $100,000 on New Orleans to win the sport as a -225 favourite on the moneyline. The guess ended up bringing in $44,000, however it’s not with out turmoil and elevated coronary heart charge.
Will Lutz netted a discipline objective early within the third quarter for the Saints to chop Atlanta’s result in one possession. Nonetheless, Marcus Mariota scored a speeding landing after which Younghoe Koo threw his fourth discipline objective of the sport for Atlanta. Atlanta led 26-10 within the fourth quarter and the bettor was probably tempted to tear up his ticket.
Nonetheless, Jameis Winston and the Saints responded shortly. Winston discovered Michael Thomas in the long run zone for his first regular-season landing since 2019. A two-point conversion try was profitable, as Winston discovered rookie Chris Olave. So it was a one-possession sport.
The Saints protection held and compelled a Falcons punt. Winston moved the ball upfield with chunky performs to Thomas, Olave and Jarvis Landry. On first and 9, Winston once more discovered Thomas in the long run zone, who made a pleasant one-handed catch off AJ Terrell for the landing. Nonetheless, a two-point conversion try from Mark Ingram failed and the Saints had been nonetheless trailing by two with lower than 4 minutes to play.
Issues took a flip for New Orleans when the Falcons moved the chains to the ground with Mariota and Cordarrelle Patterson. Atlanta bought one other first down by penalty proper after the two-minute warning. Dealing with a third-and-one, Atlanta was only a yard away from icing the sport and beginning this punter’s season with a lack of $100,000. Nonetheless, Marcus Mariota fumbled the snap on third down, after which the Falcons determined to pitch slightly than pitch on fourth-and-one of New Orleans’ 42.
The Saints gained the ball on their very own 20-yard line with 48 seconds left and no outing. Winston discovered Landry for an enormous 40-yard achieve to get the ball to Atlanta’s 40. Nonetheless, Winston was referred to as for an intentional grounding on a peak pushing again the Saints. On the following play, he discovered Juwan Johnson for 17 yards to arrange a 51-yard discipline objective from Will Lutz. Lutz drilled the kick, the Falcons did not have sufficient time to do something offensively, and New Orleans survived. It was an thrilling comeback, however not sufficient for the bettors who scored the factors with the Saints. Nonetheless, for a bettor, it was sufficient to make them $44,000 richer. It in all probability wasn’t as straightforward as they anticipated. If the saints had misplaced, it will have been painful. Pain everywhere.
The large favorites struggled
New Orleans wasn’t the one big-digit crew in Week 1 that suffered badly. Whereas the Saints ended up choosing up the win, different massive favorites weren’t so fortunate. Globally, teams that scored 5 or more points on Sunday were only 2-6 ATS and solely 4-3-1 straight.
Kansas Metropolis and Baltimore took care of their punters, as that they had no drawback with Arizona and the New York Jets, respectively. For these questioning what to consider Arizona this season, Week 1 confirmed the concept the second half of final season was extra consultant. As for the Jets, it was hoped that they might a minimum of be aggressive this season. Week 1 with Joe Flacco at quarterback in opposition to a very good crew in all probability is not value overreacting to, however it wasn’t a perfect efficiency for Gang Inexperienced.
One of many largest upsets of the day got here in Chicago, the place the Bears beat the 49ers 19-10 as a 6.5-point dwelling underdog. The climate was disgusting, making it exhausting to overreact, however it wasn’t begin for the Trey Lance period. It is exhausting to fault Lance for not having the ability to overcome 12 penalties in a monsoon, however the Bears win this game and cash in at +240 on the moneyline was definitely a shock. It definitely ruined loads of survivor pool entries and moneyline parlays.
The Cincinnati Bengals closed as 7-point dwelling favorites in opposition to the Pittsburgh Steelers, however in addition they ended up dropping. Joe Burrow had 5 turnovers for Cincinnati, however it did not get as a lot consideration because of the Bengals’ kicking failures within the closing minutes. Bengals kicker Evan McPherson turned a family title within the playoffs final season. Nonetheless, he was unable to beat an damage to Clark Harris, which impacted the operation. McPherson missed an additional run winner as regulation expired, then missed a 29-yard discipline objective in extra time. Chris Boswell hit the put up on a 55-yard discipline objective in extra time earlier than redeeming himself with a 53-yarder later within the additional session to safe Pittsburgh’s victory because the +240 moneyline underdog.
The Indianapolis Colts did not lose as 7-point favorites, however they did not win both. Houston had a 20-3 lead early within the fourth quarter, however Indianapolis got here again robust to tie the sport due to touchdowns from Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman Jr within the closing eight minutes. Rodrigo Blankenship missed a discipline objective from 42 yards in extra time and the sport resulted in a tie. Houston has at all times been on the secure aspect, however whoever had the Texans at +260 on the finance line might be somewhat miffed they misplaced their minds. No less than they bought their a refund.
Final yr’s No. 1 seed within the AFC was the Tennessee Titans. Whereas many individuals predicted a down yr for the Titans, they nonetheless beat the Giants in Week 1. Tennessee was a 5.5 level favourite. The Titans began robust, getting into halftime with a 13-0 lead. Nonetheless, New York tied the sport due to touchdowns from Saquon Barkley and Sterling Shepard within the third quarter. Tennessee took a 20-13 lead late within the third quarter and that rating held till the ultimate 1:09. Daniel Jones discovered fullback Chris Myarick for a landing, then on his teaching debut Brian Daboll confirmed his cojones as he determined to go for 2. A terrific Barkley effort transformed the try and the Giants took a 21-20 lead. Nonetheless, the Titans labored the ball in objective vary. Sadly for them and everybody who had the Titans on the road, Randy Bullock missed a 47-yard try as time expired. New York was +200 on the moneyline.
A $100 guess on the all-win Giants, Bears and Steelers would have returned $3,368. Nonetheless, the Titans, 49ers and Bengals parlays had been in all probability way more well-liked.
Late launch drama
In the event you had Philadelphia -5.5, Jacksonville +3, or Carolina on the moneyline, you are in all probability somewhat bored this morning.
The Eagles opened up a 38-21 lead within the third quarter and regarded set to cowl as a 5.5-point favourite in opposition to the Lions. Nonetheless, Detroit scored two touchdowns within the fourth quarter to chop the deficit to 3 factors. DJ Chark’s landing with lower than 4 minutes remaining put Detroit within the quantity and the Eagles then ran out of time to safe a 3-point victory, however no protection. A The BetMGM bettor bet $125,000 to win $113,750 on the Lions as a 5.5 underdog. Detroit’s late touchdowns made him a contented particular person.
Bettors who had the Jaguars at +3 had been in all probability feeling good when James Robinson scored to provide Jacksonville an eight-point lead within the fourth quarter. Carson Wentz discovered Terry McLaurin for a 49-yard rating to chop the deficit to 2, however the Commanders fell quick on the two-point conversion. Washington bought the ball again late, however slightly than be conservative and go for a discipline objective, Wentz discovered rookie Jahan Dotson for a 24-yard landing. A two-point conversion by JD McKissic was profitable and Washington ended up successful by six factors and overlaying the unfold.
Elsewhere, it regarded like Baker Mayfield was going to precise revenge on the Cleveland Browns in storybook vogue. Mayfield was abysmal within the first half however led three scoring runs within the fourth quarter to erase a 13-point Cleveland lead. The Panthers kicked a discipline objective with 1:17 to go to take their first lead of the sport. Nonetheless, a questionable roughness from the setter’s name after which a doubtlessly missed false spike became an intentional floor name was sufficient for Cleveland to aim a game-winning kick. Rookie Cade York kicked a winner from 58 yards in his NFL debut. Though the hole has not been questioned, every time a sport has a spot of lower than 3 factors, many individuals bet the moneyline instead. At BetMGM, 79% of the cash was on Carolina to win the sport at -125.
In the event you had the Raiders at +3.5, you had been 2 factors away from overlaying. As a substitute, the Chargers bought the stoppage and gained by 5 runs. It was definitely a play bettors had been watching carefully, however since Derek Carr’s cross to Hunter Renfrow was incomplete, the Chargers bettors smiled.
Unders rule the day
In the event you embody the Thursday night time sport between the Rams and the Payments, under bets are 10-5 so far in Week 1 of the NFL season.
4 video games had totals within the 50s, however solely one in every of them went over the whole. Bettors scheduled shootouts in LA-Buffalo, LA-Las Vegas and Tampa Bay-Dallas, however none of them had been delivered as all three went below. The one scheduled shootout to overhaul was Kansas Metropolis-Arizona, because the groups mixed for 65 factors, pushing the sport properly over the 54 complete.
By way of totals, the closest calls had been in Cincinnati and Tennessee. Had the Steelers or Bengals scored a landing in extra time, the sport would have topped the whole by 44.5 factors. As a substitute, it was determined by a discipline objective and the sport fell to 43 factors. In Tennessee, had Randy Bullock transformed his successful discipline objective try, the bettors would have pushed for the 44 complete.
Primetime below betting is 2-0 to this point this season. The total for Monday night’s game between Denver and Seattle is pegged at 44 points.