The following query is whether or not 11.5 factors are sufficient for the Green Bay Packers.
The Packers began the week as a ten.5-point underdog at BetMGM to Buffalo Tickets, and this line elevated. With Rodgers, the Packers have by no means been greater than an 8.5-point underdog. Based on the final line, this file might enhance by three factors.
There’s not lots of thriller within the line. The Payments are the perfect group within the NFL, and the Packers are a disappointing 3-4. The Packers are coming off a loss to the Washington Commanders by which Rodgers and the offense struggled. The Payments aren’t only a unbelievable group with a number of blowout wins already, they’re rested. Buffalo had its goodbye final week. No person is shocked to see the Payments as favorites. Seeing them lay eggs in double digits was a little bit of a shock.
After final week’s loss, Rodgers mentioned everybody writing off the Packers “is perhaps the perfect factor for us.” Perhaps he is proper. The story of “nobody believes in us” is as outdated as organized sports activities, and over time Rodgers has efficiently delved into it. Name on his teammates to make too many mistakes might begin a fireplace. If nothing else, we should always see the Packers’ finest effort on Sunday evening.
Alternatively, it’ll be scary to make Buffalo swoon all season. Every week in the past, the Payments had the No. 1 ranked offense and the No. 1 ranked protection in Football underdogs DVOA (the Chiefs took the highest spot on offense after a terrific week 7). They’ll obtain a powerful victory in any recreation they play.
But the road appears too excessive. When the strains have been revealed on every game before the season, the Packers have been +4. The payments correspond to what we anticipated. They’re actually good and we knew that because the season approached. Have the Packers modified a lot that it is value a 7.5 level adjustment to the road? In all probability not. I am going to take the Packers and people 11.5 factors. Perhaps Rodgers can flip the tide.
Listed here are the remainder of the ATS picks for Week 8, with the strains sourced from BetMGM:
Jaguars (-2.5) above Broncos
I simply cannot take this Broncos group. I am unable to consider a worse approach to begin my Sunday than to rise up early, activate the London recreation, and spend three hours praying for the Broncos to get the ball rolling.
Falcons (-4.5) vs. Panthers
Perhaps the Panthers will abruptly play higher for Steve Wilks. They definitely regarded good in opposition to the Buccaneers final week. I must evaluate this earlier than shopping for. Nonetheless, the Falcons’ cussed refusal to even attempt to kick the ball makes me cautious of scoring so many factors.
Cowboys (-9.5) over Bears
I acknowledge the Bears regarded good on Monday evening and so they lastly appear to determine the best way to use Justin Fields. It should not have taken this lengthy, however no matter. Anyway, on a brief week with a second straight recreation on the street, in opposition to poor protection, I am going to take Dallas.
Dolphins (-3.5) on Lions
The Dolphins are 4-0 in video games that Tua Tagovailoa began and completed. I do not know why Miami acquired downgraded for dropping with backup quarterbacks, particularly after they have been largely aggressive in these three losses. In the meantime, the Lions look utterly damaged.
Vikings (-3.5) on Cardinals
In case you watched final Thursday evening’s Cardinals win over the bengals, you realize Arizona’s infraction wasn’t totally fastened. Two pick-sixes opened this recreation, and you’ll’t rely on it taking place once more. The Vikings aren’t a powerful 5-1 or something, however I do not imagine within the Cardinals.
Raiders (-1.5) on Saints
I nonetheless do not assume the Raiders are dangerous. We all know how good the Chiefs are, and the Raiders in all probability ought to have received in Kansas Metropolis just some weeks in the past. I do not actually know what to actually love about Saints. Their offense is not good exterior of rookie sensation Chris Olave and the protection has additionally taken an enormous step again.
It is a Invoice Belichick particular. The entire world is bury the patriots after a nasty loss on Monday evening. I’ve already seen this film. The Patriots usually are not a nasty group. The Jets aren’t dangerous both, however Breece Corridor was such an enormous a part of their offense. With Corridor completed for the season, I do not know if I wanna come again Zach Wilson in opposition to Belichick this week.
Steelers (+10.5) on Eagles
I do not prefer it, however we noticed the Steelers struggle onerous on Sunday evening. That is what they do. The Eagles are actually good and rested too, so it isn’t a snug alternative. However he is a double-digit underdog within the NFL and I’ve to take a look at that aspect first.
Titans (-2.5) above Texas
The Titans are just about these of the AFC sea hawks, a group that’s all the time higher than we expect. Analytics don’t love Tennessee that a lot. They preserve successful. Identical to final season. And rating lower than a area purpose in opposition to an authorized dangerous group from Texas? Positive.
Commanders (+3) on Colts
I normally take a group of their first recreation with a brand new quarterback — they will normally rally across the new man — however it’s normally like an underdog. I have no idea what Sam Ehlinger will deliver to the Colts offense as he takes over from Matt Ryan on the bench. Perhaps it is good. Perhaps not. I am not protecting rating with the Colts till I discover out.
49ers (-1.5) on Rams
I did not surrender on the 49ers, silly as that is perhaps. The expertise is apparent. Kyle Shanahan normally defeats Sean McVay. The Rams have vital points that have not been resolved. I do not assume the second assembly between these groups is going on very different from the first.
Giants (+3) on Seahawks
I feel the Seahawks are fairly good. In case you overlook what we thought the Seahawks could be earlier than the season began and watch their video games, you will see soccer group. This choose shouldn’t be a Seattle fade. I’ll proceed to take the Giants so long as bettors disrespect them.
Bengals (-3.5) vs. Browns
I am a bit cautious of all of the “Bengals are coming alive!” takes this week. They beat the Falcons at house. This might not be the revival we imagine. Nonetheless, Cincinnati has received two in a row and that is a feat on this bizarre season. The Browns are fairly dangerous on each ends of the ball. No matter life the offense confirmed might fade away with no tight finish David Njoku, who had a terrific escape however has been out for a number of weeks with an injured ankle. We’ll know by the top of Monday evening if the Bengals are again.
Last week: 7-7
Season to this point: 56-51-1