In tight Senate race, AARP ballot reveals Social Safety, Medicare may turn into flashpoints

In a state the place tens of millions depend on Social Safety and Medicare advantages, a brand new ballot reveals each points resonate with a variety of mature Florida voters, who’re sometimes amongst voters most dependable in deciding elections.

An AARP-commissioned ballot of voters ages 50 and older reveals Social Safety and Medicare have been the state’s second most important points behind inflation and rising costs. Ballot figures recommend they may turn into a serious flashpoint within the contraction race between the incumbent Republican senator. Marco Rubio and Democratic consultant. Val Demings.

Florida, the nation’s third-largest state, had greater than 5.4 million individuals receiving Social Safety advantages in 2020. And almost 4.9 million have been enrolled in Medicare in Could 2022.

The ballot of older voters discovered that 12% stated Social Safety and Medicare have been an important points for them, simply behind the 15% who stated inflation and rising costs have been their most important points.

In the meantime, 88% of the 50-plus cohort additionally recognized Social Safety as an especially necessary concern in figuring out who to vote for. Cut up by occasion line, 91% of registered Democrats versus 87% of Republicans and 83% of independents recognized him as necessary or essential.

When polled, 92% of voters additionally stated they might be extra more likely to assist a Senate candidate who opposes chopping Social Safety advantages for employees. This place is extraordinarily true for Democrats, 97%, and intensely excessive, 90%, amongst Republicans and independents.

Work on behalf of AARP Floridathe bipartisan polling workforce of Fabrice Ward and Impact research surveyed 1,626 seemingly Florida voters statewide from August 24-31. The pattern included 500 seemingly voters and oversamples of 550 seemingly voters 50 and older, 262 Hispanic seemingly voters 50 and older, and 314 black seemingly voters 50 and older.

The margin of error for voters 50 and older was 3.3 share factors.

The AARP ballot additionally tracks what it calls “Senate persuasive” voters, or those that have not but determined who to vote for. They make up 19% of the 50+ age group of the citizens.

The share of those undecided Senate voters who recognized the destiny of Social Safety advantages as their most necessary concern (13%) surpassed that of their friends (12%). However fewer of these persuaders (91%) stated they have been extra more likely to assist a candidate who helps maintaining Social Safety.

Nationally, Social Safety offered an extra supply of revenue in 2020 to 69.8 million individuals (55% of whom have been girls), in line with federal information. The Social Safety Administration administers 4 forms of advantages: retirement, disability, surviving spouses or children, and ssecurity income supplement or ISS.

The federal government pays for social safety advantages by way of payroll taxes, and this system is form of funded in actual time. Almost 90% of this system’s $1.1 trillion prices in 2020 have been funded by payroll taxes collected in 2020, according to the federal government.

Within the wake of the Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, Rubio stated he would work with Sen. Mitt Romney drop what’s now referred to as The new parenting law laws permitting mother and father to make use of a part of their social safety advantages for as much as three months of paid parental depart after the start or adoption of a kid.

Whereas Rubio stated it could be “making an actual distinction for American mother and father and kids in want”, a Analysis of the plan by the Urban Institute discovered that by the point the individual on paid depart retires, the employee would have misplaced someplace between $9,200 and $22,100 in retirement advantages (in 2018 inflation-adjusted {dollars}).

Democrats rushed to the announcement, noting that Rubio arhas repeatedly stated since 2010 that these applications would bankrupt the USA and has beforehand steered elevating the retirement age.

Whereas politicians usually have heated debates over Medicare, voter assist crosses occasion strains, in line with the AARP ballot.

Ninety-two % of these polled stated they might be extra more likely to assist a candidate who opposes Medicare cuts and as an alternative helps insurance policies geared toward making certain seniors “get the well being care they want.” want”.

When damaged down by occasion, Democrats are extra enthusiastic on the problem, with 99% of Democrats say they might be extra more likely to assist a candidate who protects Medicare from cuts, in comparison with simply 89% of Republicans and independents.

On the identical time, 91% of respondents stated they might be extra seemingly or more likely to assist candidates who supported insurance policies permitting Medicare to barter prescription drug prices. The just lately handed “Slicing Inflation Act,” which Demings voted for and which Rubio opposed, will permit Medicare to barter costs for sure high-priced medication beginning in 2026. The laws additionally units out subsequent yr locations a cap on copays for Medicare beneficiaries who obtain insulin.

Once more, damaged down by occasion, 97% of Democrats stated the stance of letting Medicare negotiate drug costs would seemingly influence their assist for candidates. That is in comparison with 87% and 89% of Republicans and Independents who stated the identical.

And whereas these are insurance policies favored by voters, the Household Caregiver Tax Credit score and increasing long-term care choices have much less sway over voters within the Senate race, with simply 86% saying they might be extra more likely to assist the candidates as a result of they endorsed the concepts. .

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