NFL do you favor? Breaking down week 7 betting strains

Week 7 of the NFL season kicked off Thursday with a uncommon show of offensive ability between the Arizona Cardinals and New Orleans Saints. Is that this an indication that issues are going to get bizarre this week? At present we’re three pairs of games with similar point spreads and deciding which aspect we would moderately be on if we have been compelled to choose a aspect.

The Cincinnati Bengals rebounded from an 0-2 begin, going 3-1 of their final 4 video games. They’re 4-0 ATS in these video games. This week the The Bengals are favorites at home by 6.5 points against the Atlanta Falconsa workforce that has coated the unfold in each recreation they’ve performed.

Elsewhere within the AFC North, the Baltimore Ravens have misplaced two of their final three as they proceed their battle to wrap up video games. Baltimore’s opponent this week is the Cleveland Browns, a workforce that has misplaced three video games in a row. The The Ravens are the home favorites with 6.5 points. Which AFC North workforce would you moderately rating factors with at house?

Greg: Falcons-Bengals is the story of a workforce that manages the ball extraordinarily effectively, and a workforce whose floor recreation is sadder than the nice clown Pagliacci. Cincinnati’s weak point on protection is their lack of ability to cease the run, which I believe makes it a foul recreation for them. The Bengals’ saving grace is that the Falcons’ protection has been extraordinarily beneficiant this season, rating final in total hit fee and thirty first in hit fee. Cornerback Casey Hayward touchdown on injured reserve places Atlanta in a good worse state of affairs. I’d count on defensive coordinator Dean Pees to focus fully on stopping Joe Terrierarduous Joe Mixon beat the Falcons to the bottom.

What is going on on with the Browns protection? Their roster is sort of a fleet of Maseratis voltrons in a Chevy Nova. That is an unacceptable waste of expertise. Cleveland is giving up the second-most factors per follow and will probably be tasked with stopping a Ravens offense that scores the third-most in that class. You wish to imagine the protection will present up sooner or later, however it can in all probability proceed to hang-out us. I am going take the crows.

Rock : I noticed indicators of progress from the Bengals offense final week. He threw the ball on first downs and did not ship the ball right into a wall on first down every time. What a coincidence that Ja’Marr Chase left for the primary time since Week 1. As their 6-0 ATS document proves, selecting towards the Falcons proper now does not really feel proper, however I believe I lean this fashion. Their protection is there for the taking, as Greg mentioned, and the Bengals protection hasn’t allowed a second-half landing all season. Atlanta stays semi-closed the whole recreation, however the The Bengals take the margin late.

So far as Cleveland-Baltimore goes, it is a division recreation and that often lends itself to nearer matches. Final season, the Ravens held Nick Chubb to 75 mixed dashing yards in two video games, whereas the Browns compelled 4 Lamar Jackson turnovers in 5 quarters. There aren’t any secrets and techniques right here, particularly with the continuity of the 2 teaching groups. I am not saying the Browns win, however I believe it may be an AFC North battle and so they’ll maintain it shut.

Jets or chiefs?

The New York Jets have received three straight video games as an underdog since Zach Wilson earnings from damage. The Denver Broncos maintain wanting incompetent, and this week, Russell Wilson is a game-time determination with a hamstring damage. Consequently, the The Jets are now 1-point road favorites in Denver. Elsewhere, each Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers come out losses. In a Tremendous Bowl rematch from just a few years in the past, the The Kansas City Chiefs are the 2-point road favorites. Which favourite quick route do you favor?

Greg: Elijah Moore not moving, however the unfold on this Jets recreation definitely is. They’ve received each week since Zach Wilson returned, though he hasn’t been that good. Robert Saleh’s workforce is sort of a poor model of the Niners, which is smart, on condition that’s the place he comes from. That is going to be such an unsightly recreation. Denver’s offense is sort of a reckless belief fund little one, squandering all the things provided to it by its excellent protection. I name my shot right here: The sport is tied 13-13 within the fourth quarter earlier than the Broncos decide six Zach Wilson for a 20-13 victory.

The Niners are too stoned for me to belief them over the Chiefs. We noticed towards the Falcons final week how irreplaceable guys love Nick Bosa and Arik Armstead are on this protection. Kansas Metropolis is susceptible to deep ball, however is Jimmy Garoppolo going to beat them with 40 meter bombs? Uncertain. Give me the heads.

Rock : Say what you need in regards to the Broncos, and I can say rather a lot, however one factor is definite, their protection is not any joke. It is so arduous to win on this league when it is apparent you do not actually belief your quarterback, which is fairly clearly the case in New York proper now. Zach Wilson does his finest Mark Sanchez impression, using excellent defensive and operating play and making simply sufficient performs. I agree with Greg, it is going to be an excessive defensive battle. Assuming Russell Wilson is wholesome and taking part in, he makes yet another play than Zach and the Broncos win the sport.

Yearly beneath Kyle Shanahan, the 49ers have come again from back-to-back street video games after which misplaced their first house recreation. It might be a coincidence, however they play that position this week. Even in splendid conditions, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs after a loss just isn’t place to start out. San Francisco’s damage report can be complete, which definitely does not assist issues. Mahomes and the Chiefs get again on observe right here and get the street win and canopy.

Cowboys or dolphins?

The Dallas Cowboys restore the franchise to Dak Prescott as he returns from a finger damage he suffered in Week 1. Cooper Rush did an impressive job in its place, however the Cowboys are coming off a loss. This week when Dak returns, Dallas is a 7-point favorite against the Detroit Lions. Talking of groups that suffered losses and acquired their beginning quarterbacks again, the Miami Dolphins are the 7-point house favorites on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Which workforce would you moderately land the landing with?

ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 11: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys warms up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at AT&T Stadium before an NFL game on September 11, 2022 in Arlington, TX.  (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

Dak Prescott returns for Dallas in Week 7 of the NFL season. (Picture by Cooper Neill/Getty Pictures)

Greg: I keep so removed from that Cowboys recreation that I could not see it with the Hubble telescope. Dak Prescott performed, maybe, the worst recreation of his profession earlier than breaking his thumb in Week 1. I perceive it was towards the Bucs and this week he faces the thirty second ranked Lions protection, however I’ve little interest in touchdown a landing on a rusty quarterback towards a ravenous Detroit workforce coming off a move. Dallas is twenty ninth within the Run Cease Win Fee and the Lions are probably the greatest within the league at operating the ball, so search for them to attempt to management the play on the sphere and resolve it.

The Steelers beating Tampa Bay after which catching up seven factors towards the Dolphins is screaming Miami to me louder than Tony Montana attempting to introduce me to his boyfriend. I truly assume Pittsburgh matches fairly effectively on this recreation, however this line is so massive it makes me assume. I do not like every of those sides, however I’ll take the Cowboys.

Rock : I am so prepared for a quarterback controversy in Dallas. It is going to be attention-grabbing to see if Dallas continues to depend on their protection and play as they did when Rush was beneath middle. That in all probability offers the Cowboys the perfect likelihood of profitable. In the event that they determine to reopen issues, the Lions have confirmed they’ll observe a shootout this season. Amon-Ra St. Brown and By Andre Swift will doubtless be again because the Lions come again from a bye. Detroit scores sufficient to maintain this shut.

Pittsburgh acquired probably the most surprising outcomes of the season final week by beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers downright. It was so surprising that Chase Claypool didn’t know the way to react and for some reason he decided that putting a wad of chewing tobacco in his mouth was the right way to celebrate. I am nonetheless fairly certain the Steelers are a foul workforce. The Miami Dolphins offense seemed nice when Tua Tagovailoa was wholesome, going 3-0 straight and towards the unfold. Now wholesome, I’ve a sense he will placed on a present with Brian Flores on the opposite sideline. Pittsburgh does not rating sufficient to remain shut and Dolphin cowl.

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