NFL do you like? Breaking Down Week 8 Betting Traces

Week 8 of the NFL season kicked off Thursday evening with the Baltimore Ravens claiming victory because the underdog runs down the street in opposition to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buccaneers fell to 3-5, which is a shining instance of the weirdness of the NFL’s begin to the season. At the moment we cross three distinct game pairs with similar point spreads and resolve which aspect we would like to guess on if we have been compelled to select.

Eagles or Payments?

The Philadelphia Eagles are the one undefeated crew remaining within the NFL, whereas the Buffalo Tickets are the betting favorites to win the Tremendous Bowl. Most would contemplate them the 2 finest groups in soccer. Each groups are coming off per week off and both teams are scoring a considerable number of points at home this week. The Eagles are a ten.5 level favourite on the Pittsburgh Steelers whereas the payments lay 10.5 factors in opposition to reeling Green Bay Packers. With which elite crew would you like to play the good quantity?

Greg: If I instructed you earlier than the season that the Eagles have been going to common 4.2 factors within the second half of video games for seven weeks, you’d most likely suppose Jalen hurts ended up being a bust in any case and there isn’t any approach Philly goes undefeated. As it’s, Hurts is the third shortest favorite for MVP (+450), the Eagles 6-0 have +175 to make the Tremendous Bowl, and that is not even the highest of the mountain but. Sooner or later within the close to future it is going to be all gasoline and no brakes and we’re going to see big blowouts. It might begin with the Steelers at house, after a bye. I like Kenny Pickett’s aggressiveness as a passer, however that is not the suitable protection to check.

You could possibly fill a bus with everybody Aaron Rodgers threw underneath so I am positively right here for the 2022 Packers QB humiliation. If Inexperienced Bay would not rating sufficient factors to beat the Giants, Jets, or Commanders, how will they keep near one of the best protection within the league? The Payments have received each of their house video games this season by a mixed 69 factors. Everybody says it with me: good. I will take the payments.

Rock : The Steelers aren’t good, however Mike Tomlin has finished job of constructing certain they play exhausting each week. That was demonstrated by them beating the Buccaneers as a 9.5-point underdog two weeks in the past, then protecting and almost profitable as a landing underdog final weekend at Miami. The Eagles received off to good begins after which eased off, which is a recipe for backdoor protection that is particularly scary with an enormous quantity like this. I can see Philadelphia main this recreation 17-0 within the first half, 24-7 late within the recreation, after which the Steelers scoring a meaningless landing within the closing minutes to get into the quantity.

The Packers are all feeling damaged proper now and I do not know the way this offense can transfer the ball persistently. Randall Cobb is on IR, Allen Lazard is most certainly absent and Christian Watson and Sammy Watkins have been restricted in follow. Rodgers has additionally proven an inclination to pack up and lose curiosity when his crew falls behind by a large margin. I can even experience with the Payments.

KANSAS CITY, MO - OCTOBER 16: A view from behind of Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) before an NFL game between the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs on October 16, 2022 at GEHA Field in Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO.  Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
Josh Allen and the Payments are heavy favorites in opposition to the Inexperienced Bay Packers in Week 8 of the NFL season. (Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire by way of Getty Pictures)

The Miami Dolphins obtained Tua Tagovailoa final week and because of this they’re again within the win column. Miami is 4-0 in video games Tua has began and completed this season, whereas they’re 0-3 in video games ended by both Teddy Bridgewater or Skylar Thompson. This week the The Dolphins are the road favorites by 3.5 points against the Detroit Lions. Elsewhere, the Cincinnati Bengals acquired unhealthy information this week with Ja’Marr Chase anticipated to overlook 4-6 weeks with a hip harm. They have been beginning to appear to be the crew that made it to the Tremendous Bowl, however now they will be with out their finest weapon for some time. Nonetheless, the The Bengals are still a 3.5 point favorite on the road against the Cleveland Browns. Which favourite route do you like?

Greg: I am unable to assist however suppose what the Lions would appear to be at this level if that they had stayed wholesome. Perhaps 2-4 as an alternative of 1-5? No quantity of braveness can repair this protection, what they want is much more ability. Mike McDaniel did job of slicing them out final 12 months when he was offensive coordinator for the Niners, so there isn’t any motive why Raheem Mosert, Tyreek Hilland Jaylen Waddle should not shred them for no less than 4 or 5 touchdowns on Sunday. The one factor Miami’s protection has finished nicely this season is stopping the run, and that is unhealthy information for a Lions offense that depends on their operating recreation.

Simply because the Bengals opened up their offense and aired it, Ja’Marr Chase was sidelined for a number of weeks. Horrible. I beloved the Browns on this recreation earlier than the information broke, so now I am actually into them. Kevin Stefanski is undefeated in opposition to Cincinnati in his tenure as Cleveland coach and it has been 5 years for the reason that Bengals received a recreation within the Dawg Pound. Zac Taylor’s crew provides up the fifth-most dashing yards up to now three video games (163.3 per recreation), whereas the Browns lead the league in EPA dashing per recreation. We get the total Chubb on Monday night. I’m frolic with the dolphins this week.

Rock : Joe Terrier has but to beat the Cleveland Browns in his profession, and if he does this week, he’ll should do it with out one of many league’s finest weapons. I am to see how the Bengals react to this harm. For his or her sake, I hope the match ain’t begin operating once more Joe Mixon right into a wall on the primary strive each time like they did the primary few weeks. I feel it is a great spot for the Browns at house in prime time in opposition to a crew they’ve finished nicely in opposition to. I am not maintaining rating with Cincinnati right here, regardless of going 5-0 ATS of their final 5 video games.

Detroit’s protection was slightly higher final week in opposition to the Cowboys, however after all, Jared Goff was brutal, turning the ball round and scoring nearly no factors. That is normally the way it works with unhealthy groups. When one aspect of the ball is competent, the opposite is just not. I can see Mike McDaniel carving out that protection, or I can see the Dolphins stopping the Lions dashing offense. In different phrases, I feel there are a selection of the way Miami can get the quilt right here. I hate to agree once more, however it’s Miami for me too.

The Indianapolis Colts have determined to go away Matt Ryan, and in Sam Ehlingerfirst departure, the The Colts are a 3-point home favorite against the Washington Commanders. Operating quarterbacks have seen big success in current seasons, and the Colts are hoping to catch a few of that magic with Ehlinger. Elsewhere, two of probably the most stunning groups within the NFL have been the Seattle Seahawks and New York Giants. The The 6-1 Giants are a three-point underdog in Seattle this weekend. Which house favourite would you somewhat lay the basket with?

Greg: I nearly charged Yahoo hazard pay for making me watch final week’s Colts-Titans recreation, however I’ve to confess I am trying ahead to Sam Ehlinger vs. Taylor Heinicke this week. Heinicke performs with the unfettered confidence of Tom Cruise’s character in Magnolia, totally believing that he was positioned on this floating area rock to seduce and destroy the defenses. He is too wild for me to guess on or in opposition to him.

Throughout week 5, I invited you to leap on the Geno Smith bandwagon and also you stated, “I will most likely be one of many final individuals to leap on that bandwagon with you. Think about my shock this week after I noticed you defending Geno as Returning Participant of the Yr. Welcome aboard, my pal. The Seahawks offense is totally cooking and they’re actually one of the crucial enjoyable groups to observe this 12 months, particularly with Kenneth Walker III within the backfield. The New York Soccer Giants have some cool wrinkles on offense, however their protection ranks twenty ninth in DVOA. No fumbling or fortunate rebounds for them this week, Seattle exposes the worst 6-1 crew in NFL historical past for cheats that they’re. Seahawk nation, let’s roll.

Rock : It is true, I regarded the odds for CPOTY and thought there was some value on Geno Smith at +450. This story is simply outstanding as somebody who was compelled to observe plenty of New York Jets soccer a couple of decade in the past. In fact, if I take the Geno prepare now, there’s an opportunity the prepare will run off the tracks. These two groups assembly in Seattle are by far the 2 groups I used to be most incorrect to return into the season on, however no less than with Seattle I can see that it is considerably sustainable. The Giants discover themselves on the suitable aspect of plenty of one-possession video games. This opportunity should run out at some point. It is also a horrible journey spot for New York, which moved from London to New York in Florida to the Pacific Northwest final month.

As Greg talked about, there’s one thing about Taylor Heinicke that intrigues you. Additionally, as a Large 12 fan, Sam Ehlinger beginning an NFL recreation intrigues me. He would not have typical NFL expertise, however he was a fairly good school quarterback in Texas. Each quarterbacks are extraordinarily unstable bets proper now, which most likely means the suitable name is to remain on the sidelines and watch how issues go. For that reason, I am leaving with Seattle and make it an ideal 3 for 3 merchandise by way of deal. We all know the way it goes.

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