The MLB season begins Thursday. With the season just a few days away, now is the last chance to place your bets on total season wins at BetMGM. Bettors have released projected win totals for every MLB team, and you can put your money down if you think they’re off.
league of their own
Los Angeles Dodgers (98.5 wins): Last season the Dodgers did not win their division, but they finished with 106 wins. In the pandemic-shortened 2020 season, the Dodgers won 43 of 60 regular-season games (116 wins over a 162-game season) before winning the World Series. In 2019, the Dodgers won 106 games. Winning games in the regular season is a fatality for this team.
The Dodgers added Freddie Freeman and Craig Kimbrel. They have a full season of Trea Turner. They expect much better seasons of Cody Bellinger and Mookie Bets. As a result, Los Angeles has an expected win total of 98.5 winssix more wins than any other baseball team.
Other Top Teams
Toronto Blue Jays (92.5 wins): In 2021, the Blue Jays have won 91 games. Their young core continues to grow. They replaced Robbie Ray, steven matz and Marcus Seeds with Kevin Gausman, Yusei Kikuchi and Matt Chapman. Unvaccinated players won’t be allowed to travel to Toronto, is that a good enough benefit for push Toronto to over 92.5 wins?
Chicago White Sox (92.5 wins): The White Sox are coming off a 93-win season, and they’re another up and coming young team. They lost Carlos Rodon to free agency and Lance Lynn went down with an injury, so their rotation will be tested from the start.
Atlanta Braves (91.5 wins): The Braves are the defending champions, but they only won 88 games last year. Ronald Acuna is still out to start the season. Freddie Freeman is gone, but Matt Olson was bought to replace it.
Tampa Bay Stingrays (90.5 wins): Tampa Bay won 100 games in 2021, but they traded key players like Austin Meadows and Joey Wendle. However, they always seem to find a way to develop players out of nowhere and win games.
Milwaukee Brewers (89.5 wins): With Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff and Freddy Peralta, Milwaukee has arguably the best rotation in baseball. They’re coming off a 95-win season, so over 89.5 wins sounds appealing.
San Diego Padres (88.5 wins): Expectations were high for the Padres in 2021, but they failed to meet them and missed the playoffs with just 79 wins. Without Fernando Tatis for the start of the year, can they improve?
Philadelphia Phillies (86.5 wins): Nick Castellanos is a big addition, and the Phillies should be able to rake this season. Will their defense and throwing hold up enough to take them to over 86.5 wins after an 82-win season last year?
Boston Red Sox (85.5 wins): No one expected much from Boston in 2021, but they won 92 games and finished ahead of the Yankees. Some regression from Boston is expected despite the addition of Trevor Story.
San Francisco Giants (85.5 wins): Speaking of regression, no one believed the Giants were the real deal last season. They finished the season with 107 wins, but Bettors expect them to lose at least 20 more games this season than last.
Los Angeles Angels (84.5 wins): Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani are among MVP favorites, but are there enough on the rest of this list to make a fuss? They won just 77 games last year, but Trout has missed the majority of the season.
Seattle Mariners (84.5 wins): Seattle won 90 games in 2021 and nearly snuck into the playoffs. The Mariners added Robbie Ray, Adam Frazier, Eugenio Suarez and Jesse Winker this winter. Youngsters Jarred Kelenic, Julio Rodriguez and Logan Gilbert are also expected to play big roles.
St. Louis Cardinals (84.5 wins): The Cardinals haven’t done much in the offseason, but they’re coming off a 90-win season and can play in what most consider a weak NL Central.
Minnesota Twins (81.5 wins): It’s been a down year for the Twins in 2021, as they’ve won just 73 games en route to finishing last in the AL Central. They added Sonny Gray, Carlos Correa and Gary Sanchez in the offseason. The twins look alike a decent bet to bounce back in 2022.
Detroit Tigers (77.5 wins): Detroit has won 77 games as a young up and coming team in 2021. The Tigers added Javy Baez and Austin Meadows in the offseason. Top prospect Spencer Torkelson made the team. Riley Greene should also be on his feet when he returns from injury. Can the team continue to grow and better than last year?
Cleveland Guardians (76.5 wins): The Guardians have one of the lowest payrolls in baseball, but they have a decent rotation as well as an MVP candidate in Jose Ramirez. Is that enough to keep them competitive in a division with a bunch of question marks?
Miami Marlins (76.5 wins): Miami quietly has one of the best starting rotations in baseball, especially if Sixto Sanchez returns. However, the Marlins’ roster is not intimidating and Eastern Newfoundland looks to be tough this year. Miami has only won 67 games in 2021, which means I need a jump of 10 wins to top the total.
Kansas City Royals (74.5 wins): The Royals finished with 74 wins in 2021 and had a fairly quiet offseason. Bobby Witt Jr. has kept the team and the Royals hopeful that he, along with a healthier season from Adalberto Mondesi, could lead to an improved squad in 2022.
Chicago Cubs (74.5 wins): Kris Bryant, Javy Baez and Anthony Rizzo are all gone, and it’s a new era in Chicago. Seiya Suzuki, the 27-year-old Japanese, was bought and is currently the favorite to win the title of NL Rookie of the Year.
Texas Rangers (74.5 wins): Rangers spent a lot of money to bring in Corey Seager and Marcus Semien, which helped bring their predicted win total to 74.5 wins. Texas has won just 60 games in 2021.
Cincinnati Reds (73.5 wins): Cincinnati won 83 games in 2021, but parted ways with Nick Castellanos, Eugenio Suarez, Jesse Winker, Sonny Gray and Tucker Barnhart in the offseason.
Projected Bad Teams
Washington Nationals (70.5 wins): The Nationals unofficially began their rebuild at the trade deadline when they traded Trea Turner and Max Scherzer to Los Angeles. The Nationals have won 65 games in 2021, and while they’re probably not as bad as some other teams, it could be a struggle in the NL East competition.
Colorado Rockies (69.5 wins): The Rockies basically replaced Trevor Story with Kris Bryant. Colorado has won 74 games in 2021, but Bettors predict an even worse 2022 season for the Rockies.
Oakland Athletics (68.5 wins): The Athletic won 86 games in 2022 and then parted ways with Matt Olson, Matt Chapman, Starling Marte, Chris Bassitt and Sean Manaea. Yeah, winning is not the goal here.
Arizona Diamondbacks (66.5 wins): Arizona won 52 games in 2021. Do you expect a 15-game improvement for this group?
Pittsburgh Pirates (64.5 wins): Pittsburgh won 61 games last year, and its fans will have to wait to see top prospect Oneil Cruz. Cruz is +425 to win NL Rookie of the Year, the second-best odds despite starting the season in Triple-A.
Baltimore Orioles (62.5 wins): Baltimore lost 110 games last year, and the AL East has only gotten better and more competitive. Do we really think this team will improve by 11 games?